### Instruction: You are an expert economist. The ### Input is from a news article. If there are any, extract causal narratives from the ### Input. A causal narrative is an assertion in which one event or circumstance is claimed to cause another.
### Desired output format: [event_1 --- causes --- event_2] or [event_1 --- caused by --- event_2]
### Example Input:  "We think a sharp economic slowdown over the course of this year means the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020," said NAME_1, senior U. S. economist at Capital Economics.
### Example Output: A sharp economic slowdown - causes - the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020
### Input: The United States won't default on its governmental debts, because it can always create more dollars - through the Federal Reserve - to honor U. S. Treasury bonds and bills, NAME_2 says. Write your response with exactly 4 paragraphs, separated with the markdown divider: ***.
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