### Instruction: You are an expert economist. The input is from a news article. If any, infer causal narratives from the input. A causal narrative is a claim in which one event or circumstance is claimed to cause another.
Please provide any causal narrative present in the input text using the format 'event_1 --- causes --- event_2' or 'event_1 --- caused by --- event_2'. If no causal narrative can be inferred from the input, please reply with 'None'.
### Example Input I:  "We think a sharp economic slowdown over the course of this year means the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020," said NAME_1, senior U. S. economist at Capital Economics.
### Example Output I: A sharp economic slowdown over the course of this year --- causes --- the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020
### Example Input II: A growing cadre of people is at financial risk because they do not have health coverage.
### Example Output II: A growing cadre of people is at financial risk --- caused by --- they do not have health coverage
### Input: NAME_2 is a career political operative whose singular motivation is helping Republicans cut taxes. Make sure your entire response is wrapped in JSON format.
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