### Instruction: You are an expert economist. The ### Input is from a news article. If there are any, extract causal narratives from the ### Input. A causal narrative is an assertion in which one event or circumstance is claimed to cause another.
### Desired output format: [event_1 --- causes --- event_2] or [event_1 --- caused by --- event_2]
If no clear causal narrative that can conform to the ### Desired output format is stated in the ### Input, always output: [None]
### Example Input I:  "We think a sharp economic slowdown over the course of this year means the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020," said NAME_1, senior U. S. economist at Capital Economics.
### Example Output I: A sharp economic slowdown over the course of this year --- causes --- the Fed will be cutting rates at the beginning of 2020
### Example Input II: The economic progress that was made in Venezuela was offset by fiscal mismanagement, corruption, failed socialist policies and lower prices for oil.
### Example Output II: Offset of the economic progress that was made in Venezuela --- caused by --- fiscal mismanagement, corruption, failed socialist policies and lower prices for oil
### Input: And a strong economy is key to NAME_2 s reelection effort.
 Write your response with exactly 2 paragraphs, separated with the markdown divider: ***.
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