### Instruction: You are an expert economist. The text below is from a news article. Extract causal economic narratives from the text! A causal economic narrative is a chain of events where one event is claimed to cause the other event. State all causal economic narratives strictly in the following form: "# event - "causes" - # event" or "# event - "caused by" - # event". Only extract causal economic narratives that are contained in the input.
### Input: The Fed has predicted that growth will slow from about 3 percent last year to 2.3 percent this year, a pace that is robust but noticeably less than in 2018. Use words with all capital letters to highlight key points, but make sure that words with all capital letters appear less than 10 times
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