Ultron28 commited on
Commit
02895cd
·
verified ·
1 Parent(s): 6626f7f

⚡ ULTRON: Sync logs/round2_reviewer_audit.json

Browse files
Files changed (1) hide show
  1. logs/round2_reviewer_audit.json +33 -0
logs/round2_reviewer_audit.json CHANGED
@@ -19913,6 +19913,39 @@
19913
  "lead": "Ridge (+0.0191)"
19914
  }
19915
  }
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
19916
  }
19917
  },
19918
  "per_seed_table": {
 
19913
  "lead": "Ridge (+0.0191)"
19914
  }
19915
  }
19916
+ },
19917
+ "interaction_test_2025_vs_2026": {
19918
+ "description": "Two-sample interaction test on horizon-specific Conformer lead (delta_NZAUC) between 2025 (N=8,060) and 2026 (N=8,100)",
19919
+ "results": {
19920
+ "60m": {
19921
+ "delta_2025": 0.017,
19922
+ "delta_2026": -0.0119,
19923
+ "diff_2026_minus_2025": -0.0289,
19924
+ "se_diff": 0.0078,
19925
+ "ci95_diff": [
19926
+ -0.0442,
19927
+ -0.0136
19928
+ ],
19929
+ "z_stat": 3.72,
19930
+ "pval_raw": 0.0002,
19931
+ "pval_bonf_7h": 0.0014,
19932
+ "conclusion": "Statistically significant reversal (Bonferroni p = 0.0014 across 7 horizons), consistent with cross-regime instability."
19933
+ },
19934
+ "30m": {
19935
+ "delta_2025": 0.0092,
19936
+ "delta_2026": -0.0107,
19937
+ "diff_2026_minus_2025": -0.0199,
19938
+ "se_diff": 0.0069,
19939
+ "ci95_diff": [
19940
+ -0.0334,
19941
+ -0.0064
19942
+ ],
19943
+ "z_stat": 2.87,
19944
+ "pval_raw": 0.0041,
19945
+ "pval_bonf_7h": 0.0286,
19946
+ "conclusion": "Statistically significant reversal (Bonferroni p = 0.0286)."
19947
+ }
19948
+ }
19949
  }
19950
  },
19951
  "per_seed_table": {